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Coronavirus. What Is The Longterm Plan?

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allenlondon | 07:08 Thu 19th Mar 2020 | Body & Soul
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What is expected to happen in (say) six months? All back to normal?

It all seems a bit vague.

Allen
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China - zero new cases yesterday, except for incoming passengers held. So six weeks to this stage.
I'm not sure anyone knows. Reduced contact for 2 months plus the summer here may reduce the spread until it picks up again next winter but when it's summer here it's winter somewhere else in the world and the virus may spread from there unless all countries are vigilant and we restrict movement in and out.
How an earth can anyone plan for this, no one knows, it is a completely new virus that has never been seen before. Thankfully China is now seeing very few cases and for the first time for a couple of months, people are being allowed out in a staggered process for some fresh air. The people in this country need to come to their senses and stop panic buying. In Italy,which is the worst effected country in Europe, supermarket shelves are well stocked and there is no panic buying.
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But there MUST be something. Some desired intention, some hoped-for outcome. Otherwise it’s just blindly thrashing around and being hopeful.
Who - or what - would be in charge of the longterm plan? Are you referring only to the UK? Would our plan necessarily be better than those of any other country?
'Blindly thrashing around' seems to cover it.
Let a number of people get it (that has now happened).

Keep those vulnerable away from it for several months

Keep the others socially isolated once a number have it so that the infection numbers grow at a manageable rate for the NHS.

Let those not vulnerable out once quite a lot have had it so the rest can get it, still at a manageable rate.

Let the vulnerable mix when most have had it so they are not likely to come into contact with a carrier.

Or something like that.

The "plan" is to ensure people reduce contact, limiting the spread, to develop better ways of treating people with the disease, to develop a test to show who has had it, and to develop a (safe) vaccine (which could take a year).
I hope there is a plan and if there is I think that is a good summary by Nickorwan. The medical scientists do have a model and have talked about smoothing the curve so the NHS has more chance of managing. Most countries seem to be following a similar path so let's hope they all have worked out this is the best route and are not all blindly following each other and leading us to disaster.
I do think there will be a lock down in London in the next day or so and hope the government will explain the likely timescales and expected/hoped for benefits
The panic-buying is absurd.

I went to Sainsbury's on the way home from work last night just to get some chicken and shampoo, and it was like Old Mother Hubbard's Cupboard.

The people that are hoarding are total and utter mouth-breathing retarded morons.

These cretins are just too breathtakingly stupid to understand that if everybody shopped as they usually shopped, there would be no shortages.
Listen to this expert and inwardly digest:



The Senior anaesthetists and intensivists at my hospital pretty much concurred with the video clip.
The people that are hoarding are total and utter mouth-breathing retarded morons.

These cretins are just too breathtakingly stupid to understand that if everybody shopped as they usually shopped, there would be no shortages.
——————
We are in unknown territory. It’s called survival instinct.
I only wanted 6 eggs and a loaf!!!! No chance, you'd have thought I'd asked for rocking-horse droppings!!!!
I blame the supermarkets to some extent, they should be making sure people only take what they need and if the trolleys are full to bursting with repeat items, some of those items should be taken off them. I dread going to supermarkets now.
what do you think the long term plan is?
1. To get through this with as few avoidable deaths as possible.
2. Nationally to protect individual people from the life and financial effects of the actions needed to attain 1.
3. Nationally and globally to protect the national and global economies from the effects of the actions needed to attain 1.
4 nationally and glabally to repair and rebuild society and the economy once the pandemic ends and it is appropriate to do so.

As to how long it will take, I think its going to vary from country to country depending on the density of population, the level of infection, the facilities available to deal with it and probably a load of other stuff I haven't thought of.
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I suppose what I’m questioning is the assumption that the virus will somehow ‘die out’ by (?) September. As a couple (me and partner) well into the high risk group, we have a vested interest in the virus dying before we do!
Allen, I long for that day when I wake up to the newscaster saying ‘there have been no more reported cases in the last 72 hours’ I think I’d organise a street party :0/
"How an earth can anyone plan for this"

By listening and trusting those smarter than ourselves.

//I blame the supermarkets to some extent,//
Tesco are now restricting purchases of any item to 3.
"The people that are hoarding are total and utter mouth-breathing retarded morons" - could not have put it better myself.

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