ChatterBank1 min ago
Can Ukip Take This Seat?
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Labour seem nervous.
Labour seem nervous.
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This is what we're up against;
///Student nurse Amina Rafique, 21, admitted she hadn’t even heard of Corbyn but that she would vote Labour///
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///Student nurse Amina Rafique, 21, admitted she hadn’t even heard of Corbyn but that she would vote Labour///
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Meacher was an excellent MP and a thoroughly decent chap.
[ I should declare an interest as I met him a few times - he was at the same school as me (albeit a few years earlier) - and before anyone has a quick google and mutters 'toffs', we were both scholarship boys from relatively humble backgrounds ]
He was an extremely popular and assiduous constituency MP and I do wonder how much of his huge majority was personal rather than 'party'.
At least Labour have selected a local candidate, rather than parachuted in a Westminster policy-wonk, but I still worry about the outcome.
Corbyn is (from personal/anecdotal experience) more popular with real people than either the Daily Mail or its more hysterical camp followers will admit, but the electorate is often a strange beast at by-election time.
[ I should declare an interest as I met him a few times - he was at the same school as me (albeit a few years earlier) - and before anyone has a quick google and mutters 'toffs', we were both scholarship boys from relatively humble backgrounds ]
He was an extremely popular and assiduous constituency MP and I do wonder how much of his huge majority was personal rather than 'party'.
At least Labour have selected a local candidate, rather than parachuted in a Westminster policy-wonk, but I still worry about the outcome.
Corbyn is (from personal/anecdotal experience) more popular with real people than either the Daily Mail or its more hysterical camp followers will admit, but the electorate is often a strange beast at by-election time.
I think it will be close. A couple of thousand separating 1st and 2nd.
It will be a test for all the parties.
Labour should win it, but the parliamentary party are in disarray.
UKIP could win it on the form of previous by-elections particularly the neighbouring Rochdale constituency which they nearly won. However, a poor election result in terms of seats might put voters off.
Can the LibDems save their deposit, or are they finished?
The Tories will not expect to do well, but will Their votes transfer to UKIP?
It will be a test for all the parties.
Labour should win it, but the parliamentary party are in disarray.
UKIP could win it on the form of previous by-elections particularly the neighbouring Rochdale constituency which they nearly won. However, a poor election result in terms of seats might put voters off.
Can the LibDems save their deposit, or are they finished?
The Tories will not expect to do well, but will Their votes transfer to UKIP?
I was going to say the same Sunny-Dave ! As far as some people are concerned, the Tories can do no wrong and Labour can do no right. It would never occur to them that a different donkey might compete, but with a blue rosette.
The fly in the ointment may be the Tories. If enough of them vote UKIP, Labour could be defeated. But my gut reaction is that Meachers support will hold the day, albeit with a smaller majority. But still too close to really tell for sure.
The fly in the ointment may be the Tories. If enough of them vote UKIP, Labour could be defeated. But my gut reaction is that Meachers support will hold the day, albeit with a smaller majority. But still too close to really tell for sure.
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