Peterborough By-Election

[Gromit]

The constituency has a long history of floating. In 1974 it returned a Conservative in February and Labour in October. Since then it has yo-yoed at each election between Labour and Conservative.
But this time there is the Brexit Party who will probably do very well, at the expense of the Conservatives. The LibDems are unlikely to do well soitis a two horse race.
What do you think will happen:
- Brexit wins because voters have abandoned the Conservative Government and the former Labour MP left in disgrace
- Labour wins because the Tory and Brexit opposition split the anti Labour vote
- Another result/ reason, please specify.

[jim360]

It's dominated our politics for three years already, and will continue to do so for many more, whether we leave on October 31st or not. It's just not true that we have to wait until afterwards to decide that we don't want to go ahead with it after all -- if indeed that is what the people now think, which is anyway far from certain.

[naomi24]

//We’ve spent the last 3 years doing little else. //

No Ichkeria. Mrs May and the rest of the Remainers have spent the last three years desperately making excuses and lying - in fact anything to find a way to cling on.

[agchristie]

Usually 'yes' or 'no' answers in political interviews are like gold dust.

Applied to a Brexit referendum voting paper it has caused sheer carnage...

[ludwig]

Brexit Party should win because it'll be another protest vote, and as you've pointed out, that part of the country is a 'leave' voting area.

[youngmafbog]

I'll be very surprised if the BP dont win given all the circumstances. They will take voted from both the Tories and Labour.

Lib Dems will probably do reasonable but I expect Labour and Tories to be hammered. Be real interesting if one of them lost their deposit :-)

[ToraToraTora]

gromit: "Just checked and Peterborough voted Leave in the referendum by 60-40.
So BP should win it. " - what I said 10:25 be old china!

[Spicerack]

He never listens. That's why he's ended up like he is.

[Old_Geezer]

Wanting to overturn the result of a referendum by holding a second referendum far too soon, and thus making it obvious one simply wishes to get one's own way and convince just enough folk to flip flop on an issue, is not only disrespectful, but undermining of democracy. It is trying to prevent democratically arrived at decisions from being observed/delivered.

[Gromit]

// So BP should win it. // I was wrong.

// I expect brexit to win with the Lib NonDems second. Tories and Labour will both get a kicking. // Wrong Tora

// I'll be very surprised if the BP dont win given all the circumstances. They will take voted from both the Tories and Labour. // Wrong YMB

// Labour are likely to lose votes to the Lib Dems. So I predict the BP will triumph // Wrong Ich

// The current Labour candidate is already in disgrace so hopefully she won't be in the running. // Wrong Naomi

// the Brexit Party are 1/7 favourites. // But lost Spicey.

[10ClarionSt]

I just love this website! :o)

[gulliver1]

14.41, "So BP should win it "- "what I said at 10.25 me old china" PMSL.
And Nigel did a runner before the results were announced, even he could see the writing on the wall. PMSL again .

[Jordyboy9]

Does this mean abacus and her jockey are in with a chance of getting voted in at the next election?must get my plane tickets booked for Crete.

[DTCwordfan]

Looks like the AB 'pundits' have been well and truly wrong here - I wouldn't even take their advice on a one-horse race....

[douglas9401]

On behalf of the country I'd like to thank, in no particular order, Answerbank expert political analysts, bookies, Farage supporters and those with shattered dreams for their service.

[jim360]

Yes, not a brilliant moment for AB pundits. But, on the other hand, I think almost everybody in the country was caught off-guard by this result.

[Khandro]

'Turnout was high for a by-election, but still low overall, which makes extrapolation a dubious game. But, the result does suggest British politics has been turned on its head. As Sir John Curtice, the psephologist, told the BBC, "we are now in a different political world” in which domination by any one party might not be possible.

In other words, the rise of the Brexit Party could turn a huge number of seats into marginals and make any election deeply unpredictable. Which makes it really rather not a good time to hold an election if you are the governing party. Especially one that promised to deliver Brexit.'

The Telegraph

[vetuste_ennemi]

I agree with AgChristie; a bad night for the Brexit Party.

Possibly a worse result for Britain as a free nation when Marxists and Jew haters are elected rather than a party which wants political independence.

[naomi24]

//Possibly a worse result for Britain as a free nation when Marxists and Jew haters are elected rather than a party which wants political independence. //

And that result is crowed over. A sad indictment of society.

[jim360]

Democracy would work brilliantly were it not for the electorate.

[naomi24]

Jim, as far as I an see no one is disputing the result - or ignoring it in favour of something they find more palatable.