//Well a wonder what the spin is on are latest UK surge to over 34000 cases in a day.//
There's no spin. I have never said that the disease will not spread. On the contrary my entire argument since it began is that it will spread unless everybody is confined to their homes 24/7. I mentioned the steadiness of the infections at around 22k or so because I was very surprised. I expected them to be much higher once the 20k level was reached. This is especially so since more testing is being undertaken. Lockdown 2.0 has been in operation for a week now and if it is to bear fruit the rates should begin to decline. I believe that they will not (as they did not in Wales) because locking down the entire country is not the way to deal with this. So for the record, as far as infection rates go, I'm not surprised they have increased, I will be far from surprised if they continue to increase, despite lockdown. But they may vary from time to time.
The graphs shown a couple of weeks ago were and still are rubbish (even their authors have said as much). They forecast 4,000 daily deaths by the end of this month and they should have reached well over 1,000 by now. And they haven't (although today's death figures have not yet been published).