Insurance2 mins ago
Lucy Letby Guilty
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Found guilty of murdering seven babies.
RIP little ones.
Found guilty of murdering seven babies.
RIP little ones.
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tray techical - sozza
It is a rare event- average no deaths per y - 3
and so we can say it follows a Poisson distribution with av 3
chance of 6 alone - 0.05
but we really want to know the chance of 6 and above 0.08
( 7- 0.022, - 7 or above 0.034)
and so boys and girls the alarm should have sounded on numbers alone as soon as the tally struck 6
( you are allowed to foo, and wonder : " poisson, dat stinks, dat does" - and other fab one liners)
It is a rare event- average no deaths per y - 3
and so we can say it follows a Poisson distribution with av 3
chance of 6 alone - 0.05
but we really want to know the chance of 6 and above 0.08
( 7- 0.022, - 7 or above 0.034)
and so boys and girls the alarm should have sounded on numbers alone as soon as the tally struck 6
( you are allowed to foo, and wonder : " poisson, dat stinks, dat does" - and other fab one liners)
Quite alot on R4 - this sat am.Felt sorry for the guest eds, a band ( brass band) who clearly erm cdnt guest-edit.
themes coming out - a.drs get struck off, bad admin go and wreck another hospital
b. it is un thinkable that a nurse etc ( denial bias, opp to confirmation bias) - I mean drs do that - Shipman etc so we dont have to think of anyone else. Ignore Allitt
c. warnings were given, and apologies extract under pain of (a).
d. not mentioned - allegations of harassment taken as excuse to go down harassment rabbit-hole and ignore original complaint. This is very very common ( everywhere) - oh it cd be used as a flag ( of dysfunction)
e. Francis KC- recalling Bristol and other campaigns and regretting his expertise was nt used more. Ignoring drs OK but ignoring HIM - criminal !
f. Francis, what we need most is the Shipman reform - medical examiners, who go around checking everything and are paid alot. He did not say - it was enacted but never put into action
f.low quality of investigations ( god dont I know that)
NOT mentioned: Investigations used to be central ( regional) and there was a demand for all investigations to move from regional ( expertise, lots done) to local ( very few, expertise not gained, lessons NOT learned in investigation mistakes as here). This occurred in 1995 and the then Chief Med officer one Liam Donaldson predicted this wd happen. he was regional tho.
He went on to empower the GMC as the answer to everything see a.
themes coming out - a.drs get struck off, bad admin go and wreck another hospital
b. it is un thinkable that a nurse etc ( denial bias, opp to confirmation bias) - I mean drs do that - Shipman etc so we dont have to think of anyone else. Ignore Allitt
c. warnings were given, and apologies extract under pain of (a).
d. not mentioned - allegations of harassment taken as excuse to go down harassment rabbit-hole and ignore original complaint. This is very very common ( everywhere) - oh it cd be used as a flag ( of dysfunction)
e. Francis KC- recalling Bristol and other campaigns and regretting his expertise was nt used more. Ignoring drs OK but ignoring HIM - criminal !
f. Francis, what we need most is the Shipman reform - medical examiners, who go around checking everything and are paid alot. He did not say - it was enacted but never put into action
f.low quality of investigations ( god dont I know that)
NOT mentioned: Investigations used to be central ( regional) and there was a demand for all investigations to move from regional ( expertise, lots done) to local ( very few, expertise not gained, lessons NOT learned in investigation mistakes as here). This occurred in 1995 and the then Chief Med officer one Liam Donaldson predicted this wd happen. he was regional tho.
He went on to empower the GMC as the answer to everything see a.
afsal shah later ( ex CPS chief prosecutor for the crown) helping things along
shall the inquiry be non stat? - voluntary, no compulsion, notes not disclosable to the inquiry but ARE disclosable under data acts- he did NOT say inquisitorial - to find out what happened
OR
shall it be statutory - judgy baby ( not afsal shah, surely), wiggies, oaths, disclosable doc, subpoenas, dragging people into court
he quite like this one
BUT it tend to be after someone, is finger pointing, accusatorial
and obviously people CAN say - I dont want to answer that as it may incriminate me ( fifth amendment only england)
and the Great and Good who rule us for our own obvious benefit have not decided.
shall the inquiry be non stat? - voluntary, no compulsion, notes not disclosable to the inquiry but ARE disclosable under data acts- he did NOT say inquisitorial - to find out what happened
OR
shall it be statutory - judgy baby ( not afsal shah, surely), wiggies, oaths, disclosable doc, subpoenas, dragging people into court
he quite like this one
BUT it tend to be after someone, is finger pointing, accusatorial
and obviously people CAN say - I dont want to answer that as it may incriminate me ( fifth amendment only england)
and the Great and Good who rule us for our own obvious benefit have not decided.
Me pathotoblist
How do you diagnose an air embolus?
you X ray them and you can see the bubble in the vascular system. Did none of these children have post mortem x rays?(*)
Lucy L had a point - the doctors are crap
(*) and you immediately report as ( me radiologist now) - air shown - this child has been assaulted
How do you diagnose an air embolus?
you X ray them and you can see the bubble in the vascular system. Did none of these children have post mortem x rays?(*)
Lucy L had a point - the doctors are crap
(*) and you immediately report as ( me radiologist now) - air shown - this child has been assaulted
TTT - Mods have no control, or should they, in what people post.
Posting five posts in a row is not against Site Rules, it just clogs up the thread.
Posting five posts in a row is not against Site Rules, it just clogs up the thread.
hi Andy
delete the pathological diagnosis of air embolus, pre and post mortem and make me laugh!
Ditto for the distribution of deaths over a year (13) and whether they should have pressed the alarm button sooner, when the tally reached 6
I will laugh a bit more.
say you thought the Poisson distribution was a dish and not a statistic !
Come on - the fact you AH dont understand it doesnt means its irrelevant - delete the posts and do the usual reputational damage to the site!
go on, do it!
admit you have no idea what a public inquiry is, and what sorts of flavour they are !
aver you had no idea who judges are and whether they wore wigs ( whatever THEY are!)
You can do it!
delete the pathological diagnosis of air embolus, pre and post mortem and make me laugh!
Ditto for the distribution of deaths over a year (13) and whether they should have pressed the alarm button sooner, when the tally reached 6
I will laugh a bit more.
say you thought the Poisson distribution was a dish and not a statistic !
Come on - the fact you AH dont understand it doesnt means its irrelevant - delete the posts and do the usual reputational damage to the site!
go on, do it!
admit you have no idea what a public inquiry is, and what sorts of flavour they are !
aver you had no idea who judges are and whether they wore wigs ( whatever THEY are!)
You can do it!
// the co-signing practice across the road noticed [Shipman’s patients were dying] and so the partnership agreed that the doctor who was dying from ca breast should be the informer //
But they did nothing and let him continue killing. The undertaker had a word with his freemason Police buddies and that is how the investigation started,
But they did nothing and let him continue killing. The undertaker had a word with his freemason Police buddies and that is how the investigation started,
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