Are we on the verge of an election?

[youngmafbog]

So we no have Jack 'man of' Straw finally saying what the majority of us have always said i.e telling the do gooders to shut up , Bottler is gunning for a full 1% in the rate of interest and our good old Chancellor sticking Billiions into spending. Ont top of Bottler
claiming full responsibility for single handedly solving the credit crunch are we on the verge of an election or will Mandy's latest scuttle it all ?

[R1Geezer]

Well I think old Charisma Bypass probably thinks that he's done ok recently so he may well go to the country before the Labour back benchers start twitching again.

[Gromit]

There does not need to be an election until 2010. This would be a very stupid time to call one. Mandelson has not scuttled anything.

[youngmafbog]

No true Gromit, but see R1's point. If Bottler waits until 2010 then labour are likely to loose big time. If he goes to the country soon there is still a chance he can recover enough seats to keep labour in the running so they would stand a chance of getting back in the following election. After all with McBottles scorch earth policy the Tories are doomed.

Mandy is an odious person and by the looks of it is back up to his old tricks again. I would say there is a fair chance he will scuttle labour if he has not done so already.

[Gromit]

The Labour Party are unlikely to call a general election whilst they are so far behind in the polls. Last month, the Tories lead Labour by 28%. There has since been a 'Brown Bounce' due to his handling of the financial crisis, but the Tory lead is still 12%. Not a time to call a snap election.

A more likely scenario is that Labour will ditch Brown if their popularity does not improve. As we have seen over the last month, a lot can happen in politics. Labour's rating has gone up 16% and the Tories have gone down 14%. A lot can happen to improve Labour's chances before June 2010. it is a bit premature to write them off now.