Editor's Blog1 min ago
Weather
Is it unseasonally warm where you are?
Does anyone have any idea what the long term forecast is going to be - I appreciate that it's difficult to forecast with any degree of certainty but the met office usually have a guess
Does anyone have any idea what the long term forecast is going to be - I appreciate that it's difficult to forecast with any degree of certainty but the met office usually have a guess
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The Met Office stopped issuing long range forecasts (going more than a month into the future) several years ago. Mathematics (chaos theory) has proven that forecasters will NEVER be able to provide really meaningful forecasts over such periods.
Their forecast for the next month is as follows:
UK Outlook for Friday 31 Oct 2014 to Sunday 9 Nov 2014:
Eastern parts are likely to start dry but cloudy on Friday, with a band of occasionally heavy rain across western and central areas. This rain will clear from the west through the day and into Saturday with brighter spells and isolated showers following. It will also remain mild but often windy, although temperatures are likely to fall closer to normal once the rain clears. A northwest-southeast split then follows with the wettest and windiest conditions likely across the west, with gales, perhaps turning severe at times. The best of the drier and brighter weather is likely to be in the south and southeast, although staying breezy and with occasional outbreaks of rain. Temperatures will generally average out to near normal, but there will be large day to day variations.
UK Outlook for Monday 10 Nov 2014 to Monday 24 Nov 2014:
The main signal is for a continuation of a north-south split during the second week of November. During this period, the generally westerly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather, mostly affecting northern and western areas. However, southern and eastern areas will probably see more in the way of drier and settled conditions increasing the likelihood of some sunshine, but also the risk of frost, mist and fog overnight, the latter of which could be slow to clear. After this it looks set to turn more changeable across the south and east, whilst remaining unsettled across northern parts. Daytime temperatures will probably be near or a little above normal, although feeling cooler during any wet and windy spells.
Their forecast for the next month is as follows:
UK Outlook for Friday 31 Oct 2014 to Sunday 9 Nov 2014:
Eastern parts are likely to start dry but cloudy on Friday, with a band of occasionally heavy rain across western and central areas. This rain will clear from the west through the day and into Saturday with brighter spells and isolated showers following. It will also remain mild but often windy, although temperatures are likely to fall closer to normal once the rain clears. A northwest-southeast split then follows with the wettest and windiest conditions likely across the west, with gales, perhaps turning severe at times. The best of the drier and brighter weather is likely to be in the south and southeast, although staying breezy and with occasional outbreaks of rain. Temperatures will generally average out to near normal, but there will be large day to day variations.
UK Outlook for Monday 10 Nov 2014 to Monday 24 Nov 2014:
The main signal is for a continuation of a north-south split during the second week of November. During this period, the generally westerly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather, mostly affecting northern and western areas. However, southern and eastern areas will probably see more in the way of drier and settled conditions increasing the likelihood of some sunshine, but also the risk of frost, mist and fog overnight, the latter of which could be slow to clear. After this it looks set to turn more changeable across the south and east, whilst remaining unsettled across northern parts. Daytime temperatures will probably be near or a little above normal, although feeling cooler during any wet and windy spells.
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