You can't have a simple mathematical formula for an odd shape like that to give you an exact answer.
You can get pretty close by considering the volume of the vase, the volume of the spheres and the
packing fraction.
so N x (volume of sphere) = packing fraction x volume of vase.
I can't quite picture the vase with the indentations - without them you'd have an average width of 24" so pi R squared gives you an average area of 452 square inches with a height of 72" gives you a volume of 32752 cubic inches
the volume of your "oranges" is of course 4/3 pi R cubed or .56 cubic inches (I assume that you mean a diameter of 1.5")
There are different ways to pack spheres see here:
http://mathworld.wolfram.com/SpherePacking.htm l
In random packing the packing fraction is 0.64
So N=32752*0.64/0.56 =34,731
You'd need to do a similar calculation but account for the reduction in volume due to theses indentations