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As I tell my rugby playing son on a weekly basis, (not that he's a transgressor, far from it) indiscipline will cost a team the game every single time.
If England keep their heads and settle down a little in the second half, the game is theirs to go on and win.
I expect the game to open up a lttle more in the last 20 minutes and we could be in for a stormer, especially if the French are chasing the game and start throwing it about a la Barbarians.