Of all natural hazards facing the United States, earthquakes have the greatest potential for
inflicting casualties, damage, and economic loss. Although damaging earthquakes are
infrequent, their consequences can be immense.
A magnitude 7 to 7.5 earthquake, an earthquake of extreme magnitude that could happen in the Los Angeles basin, occurs every 500-1000 years, according to Dr. Lucile M. Jones, Southern California branch of the U.S. Department of Geological Survey. Smaller earthquakes on these faults such as the 6.7magnitude 1994 Northridge (San Francisco) earthquake will happen an average of more than twice per century.
A highly technical document compiled by leading geologists entitled Working Groups on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP) states, in part:: ��30-year probability estimates �depend critically on the degree to which the SFBR (San Francisco Bay Region) has emerged from the seismic quiescence that followed the great 1906 San Francisco earthquake.� They conclude that damaging, but less severe earthquakes, such as the Northridge quake have somewhat mitigated the probability of �the big one�. The Regional probability of at least one Magnitude 6.7 event between 2002-2031 is > 0.70. Hayward-Rodgers Creek and SAF (San Andreas Fault) have highest probabilities for Magnitude6.7 events before 2032. Analysis of their data concludes the probable occurrence of a Magnitude 7.0 to 7.5 quake along segments of the San Andreas within 35 to 70 years.
Human kind, however, is inflicted with that mysterious infectious disease known as NIMBY. Along with that is the belief that everyone but me will die at some time� I call it selective immortality�