Crosswords3 mins ago
1 in 6 people would not sit next to a muslim on hte tube
Is this understandable ( I think it is, and 1 in 6 is a low estimate). If you look at it this way.....
If every tube train had one red chair on it, now there is a 1 in a million chance that that chair will blow up (i.e. there is a counter on the chair when the millionth person sits on it, it blows up) If this was a real situation then nobody would ever sit on the red chair on the train, because although its a slim risk its still a risk. Right so there have been over 30 individual susessful or unsucessful attempts of suside bommings on the tube and there are not 30 million muslims in the uk, so the risk that one of them will blow themselves up is greater than 1 in a million, so is it not understandable how people feel?
If every tube train had one red chair on it, now there is a 1 in a million chance that that chair will blow up (i.e. there is a counter on the chair when the millionth person sits on it, it blows up) If this was a real situation then nobody would ever sit on the red chair on the train, because although its a slim risk its still a risk. Right so there have been over 30 individual susessful or unsucessful attempts of suside bommings on the tube and there are not 30 million muslims in the uk, so the risk that one of them will blow themselves up is greater than 1 in a million, so is it not understandable how people feel?
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Statistics from YouGov or wherever can't prove Admarlow's point because probability is more complex than he and others suggest. There go my three stars, eh Gef?
Using a mathematical calculation like [number of attacks in a period] divided by [number of days] or [number of suicide bombers] out of [number of muslims] has limits.
Quite often there is widespread agreement on probabilities because of symmetry (for example, people tend to agree that the probability of a dice landing on 6 is 1/6 and the probability of a coin landing heads up is 1/2) but probability is still a subjective measure, it's just sometimes our views coincide.
If people think I'm talking rubbish, tell me more... like why.
Statistics from YouGov or wherever can't prove Admarlow's point because probability is more complex than he and others suggest. There go my three stars, eh Gef?
Using a mathematical calculation like [number of attacks in a period] divided by [number of days] or [number of suicide bombers] out of [number of muslims] has limits.
Quite often there is widespread agreement on probabilities because of symmetry (for example, people tend to agree that the probability of a dice landing on 6 is 1/6 and the probability of a coin landing heads up is 1/2) but probability is still a subjective measure, it's just sometimes our views coincide.
If people think I'm talking rubbish, tell me more... like why.
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