Christmas Monday Punt - 27 Dec 2021

[Ken4155]

Today's ITV 7 is made up of 1 race from Wetherby, 2 from Kempton and 4 from Chepstow - home of the Welsh Grand National. What a pity they have to hold it behind closed doors for the 2nd year running:-(

Anyone fancying a punt in the big race may find the following stats helpful.

The average absence from the track of all winners in the last 20 years is from 20 days to 35 days. During that spell, no horse has won first time up.

No horse has won this race back to back since Bonanza Boy in 1988/89.

7 out of last 10 winners carried less than 11 st to victory.

In the last 10 years, only 2 horses failed to finish in first 4 prior to taking part.

Age is irrelevant - youngest in last 10 years was 6, oldest 13.

Hope the stats hold up, 'cos i follow them. It's just a matter of selecting the right one from whatever short-list i end up with :-)

[Ken4155]

Mmm, the 'short-list' isn't as short as i had hoped, only knocking 9 out of the reckoning. As you can see, i've settled on Deise Aba, beaten just a nose by the Nicholls trained Highland Hunter over 2f less, lto.

1.05 Che; Pink Legend @ 8/1
2.50 Che; Deise Aba @ 11/1 - 7 places (free £5 bet)
3.10 Kem; Fortescue @ 5/1 - 4 places
3.40 Kem; Captain Morgs @ 3/1 - 4 places

Win singles, 20p L15, £1 e.w. acca. 4 placed = £33, 4 winners = £3,899

ITV 7, the above qualifiers plus; Monsieur Pom Pom, Forever Blessed, Tequila Blaze, & Take Your Time. £1 e.w. acca.

Best of luck, all.

[Togo]

Will try to brighten up a murky day with a winning flutter. Done the ITV7 and **** E/W Acca, Doubles and Trebles. ⁕⁕⁕ Win Trixie. I had to put my dosh on Potters Corner but used their free bet money on Highland Hunter in the Taff Nat. One of my brothers had 10 quid on the King George winner @33/1. Good luck if you have a go.

Paint THe Dream @5/1 1.05Che*
Kayfast Warrior @ 9/2 1.35Weth⁕
Magistro @13/2 1.40Che*
Coded Message @7/2 1.55Kem⁕
Take Your Time @7/4 2.10Che⁕
Potters Corner @16/1 2.50Che*
Morning Vicarr @15/2 3.10 Kem*

[Ken4155]

You need to steal his lucky pin, Togo :-))

[Togo]

It gets better. Another brother had it doubled with the Twiston Davies winner in the 2.45 at Wetherby and had over £1k back. I am going back to Stoke ... I must have left my luck somewhere.