Question Time.....oh Dear Labour!

[ToraToraTora]

Nick Ferrari: "When Blair won in 97 he was 20 points clear, Labour are just 9, they should reflect on that.....". In order to win Sir Beer would have to beat the swing that Blair achieved then. Not a chance.

[THECORBYLOON]

Not sure why you think Labour needs a 20% lead.

"First, let’s apply the usual approach. The Labour lead in the BBC Projected National Share (PNS) of the local election vote is just nine points. ***That is short of the target 12-point general election lead that would produce a majority, assuming current electoral geography.*** And in the year to the next election, that 9-point lead could shrink. Blair’s 16-point lead in the 1996 PNS was followed by a 13-point lead at the 1997 general election. Cameron’s 15-point PNS lead in 2009 shrunk to less than half that by the time of the 2010 general election, leaving him short of a majority." (emphasis added)

https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/61357/keir-starmer-labour-party-electoral-geography-polling-locals

[Buenchico]

There might be more than two parties forming part of the equation though, TTT.

Figures from the local elections (based upon number of seats won):
Labour: + 25%
LibDem: + 33%
Green: +100%
Cons: -32%

[Gromit]

The Conservatives have a very bad record on what most people vote for in a General Election - the economy, immigration, health. And they have behaved badly - partygate, sleaze and tax avoidance.

[bobbinwales]

We know all that Gromit but this is about whether Labour gets enough of the list votes and can get the majority we need

[bobbinwales]

^ LOST votes