Ukrainian Counteroffensive

[ichkeria]

Posting this link from the BBC

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-europe-65872310

These villages are on the way to Mariupol in Donetsk region.
There is plainly a long way to go though. There is probably a main line of defence at Urozhaine just ahead.
Whether this is even a main “punch though” the Russian lines remains to be seen. To date Ukraine has only deployed a fraction of its offensive brigades and none of its really heavy artillery. This may still be a “testing the water” exercise.
Who knows

[ichkeria]

It's worth also saying that the Russians have blown up two more dams in Ukraine, following the destruction of the Nova Kakhovka dam.
Ukrainian intelligense service claims Russia is planning an apparent "terrorist atrocity" at the "Crimean Titan" refrigerator plant at Armanysk, northen Crimea, where 200 tonnes of ammonia is stored. Perhaps another contingency if things continue to go badly for them.

[ImLostAgain]

Do you think Ukraine will target the kerch bridge again ichkeria?

[ichkeria]

I have no idea: you may have seen the pictures allegedly showing cracks in pillars. No idea if those are authentic.
The bridge is really two bridges: road and rail. Currently the rail links to Crimea are broken due to partisan attacks in the last nights.
If Ukraine wants to cut Crimea off they’ll do the bridge. But it’s not clear. It’s also a handy escape route if you want people to escape - ie leave the peninsula - to save them having to expel them later

[ichkeria]

And here’s a funny thing:
The Russians blew the dam in Nova Kakhovka to stop Ukrainian forces crossing the Dnipro though: and moved their defensive forces upriver.
However although down river the waters have been riding, upriver the reservoir is draining. In a few weeks a large stretch of the Dnipro will be a dry river bed Abu h the Ukrainians could simply drive across! And none of it is defended by trenches or mines.
Well done Russia