Labour's Lead Evaporating.....

[ToraToraTora]

Down from 27 points to just 12. The fat lady hasn't sung yet. 🎵🎵🎵🎵🎵🎵🎵🎵😁

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/05/28/tories-12-points-behind-labour-new-general-election-poll/

 

[THECORBYLOON]

" I used Gulliver's figure as the top end deliberately to emphasise what I was doing."

Yeah, right. Of course you did...

[youngmafbog]

And the left can only attack the OP.

 

Says it all really.

[dave50]

Its bound to happen as we approach election day. It will be closer than anyone is predicting .

 

[bednobs]

but he leaves himself so attckable.

one could say the same about gulliver "the right can only attack the OP.  syas all you need to know"

i honestly cannot see how people are so blind to their stuff which is the sam as they attack other people for

[jno]

ah yes, I recall the race for the London mayoralty was going to be a close run thing, according to both sides. And by gosh, Sadiq barely made it into seven figures.

[perseverer]

According to this 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-politics-69071603

based on averaging 12 companies latest polls, Labour are on 45% and Tories on 24%, but then again since AB news section appears to be largely dominated by people whose principal aim in life is to deprecate anything to do with Labour, and who don't like the BBC much, why not go with that bastion of balanced reporting the Telegraph, (or I suppose you could see what GB News is saying.)

[DTCwordfan]

My bet on Labour by 10-15 is looking rosier by the day. One gully must be crapping himself at the prospect that it's so slim or even a hung parliament or Conservative win. stand down wind please.

[Peter Pedant]

That should be UNreliable, if predicitve text could leave my posts alone!!

you know I get that Andy - I make an anodyne comment like " exit polls on the day are known to be the best ( most accurate) predictors) and then the post disappears !

I am glad it happens to others

[Peter Pedant]

make believe bet or you DID spread out moolah on 10-15 MPs? what odds?

stand down wind please. - - - should be "stand down, wind up please."

[DTCwordfan]

tenner @eight to one on a hung parliament - Betfred

[Stableford]

Sacking off Diane as a candidate has got to be a vote winner.  Keir has got to show he means business with these extremists.

[Mozz71]

I assume people stopped reading beyond that line Tora quoted, as in the same article it says...

//Other polls released on Tuesday have the Tories at over 20 points behind, with Survation and Redfield & Wilton Strategies both putting Labour 23 points ahead.//

[Peter Pedant]

the accuracy or confidence depends on the number in the sample

in this  election, they are talking about plus or minus 4

so 20% means that they are sure that the figure is beteen 16 and 24 !

and even THAT spread ( my god it is HUGE) they got it wrong over GE no 4 for Thatcher. They decided that people had lied - oops !

[10ClarionSt]

The OP is just wishful thinking. Starmer needs to be very forceful about how radical Labour will be. Lots of changes needed and labour will do it.