my turn my turn - - -say test X measures disease X
the question you really want answered, is:
if test X is positive - what chance do I have of having disease X ?
this chance has a name ! PPV [ positive predictive value]
according to this
http://www.uptodate.com/contents/screening-for-prostate-cancer
is is one third or thirty per cent
that is if you have a PSA of greater than 4 then the chance you have prostate cancer is a third .....
God I didnt think it was that low ( or that bad ) that is that the test was that inefficient
By contrast for example the test for HIV ( HIV test ) predicts HIV in at least 99% ( if you test positive for HIV then you have HIV )