How Do You Think The Referendum Vote Will Go?

[AB Editor]

 

This poll is closed.

Which way do you think the British public will vote on June 23rd?

• Out - 179 votes
• 63%
• In - 107 votes
• 37%

See final stats

Stats until: 01:04 Sun 22nd Dec 2024 (Refreshed every 5 minutes)

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[AB Editor]

Importantly, this isn't - which way will you vote, but which way do you think the majority will vote (whether you're on the winning side or not).

[steg]

I think it will be "in"

[jourdain2]

Hey, Ed! I just voted that I think the tide has turned and hit 'out', then 'vote' and it comes up 100% 'In' - what's happened and can I have another go please? I was careful to position the cursor correctly, but I have to hit this keyboard hard, so it may have jumped.

[andy-hughes]

I think it will be 'Out'.

As I have opined previously - voting is about perspective, not information.

The average voter's perspective of the EU is that it rules us without our choice, and it forces us to take millions of migrants under its 'free movement' laws.

Those two perceptions - and again it is about gut feeling, not facts, will see the majority vote to take us out of the EU.

[melv16]

With the SNP supporters voting for Brexit, (hoping for another referendum). And the disaffected Labour supporters who voted UKIP at the last election. I can see a majority for the Brexit campaign, sadly.

[AB Editor]

It's hard to say, you can feel how out of step the media narrative is with the opinions of the general public.

I talk to people about it, and for many reasonable people (not those frothing about the usual ukip bulletpoints) who have quietly already known that the answer would be to leave. They're no engaged in the discussion, they just "know" it.

[AB Editor]

jourdain2 - it takes a few minutes to update :)

[steg]

Avatar Image
melv16
With the SNP supporters voting for Brexit, (hoping for another referendum). And the disaffected Labour supporters who voted UKIP at the last election. I can see a majority for the Brexit campaign, sadly.

I'm an SNP supporter and I'm voting to stay and most SNP supporters I know are voting to stay so you may be wrong on your assessment on that

[naomi24]

Andy-hughes, //The average voter's perspective of the EU is that it rules us without our choice, and it forces us to take millions of migrants under its 'free movement' laws.//

That’s not perception. It does. Apparently this country has opposed around 75% of rules and laws enacted by the EU. Nevertheless, we have to accept them.

I think ‘In’ will get it because so many people are afraid to let go of the apron strings.

[andy-hughes]

Naomi - //That’s not perception. It does.//

A perception being backed up by evidence does not negate its status as a perspective in my view.

[naomi24]

Err.... right.

[ummmm]

I think 'in'.

[youngmafbog]

Depends on how much scaremongeri goes on.

[AB Editor]

youngmafbog - interesting that you said that as our polls show that we've slid towards "in"

In May 2015 it was 62% for out: http://www.theanswerbank.co.uk/News/Question1421921.html

In Feb of this year we peaked at 74% for out:
http://www.theanswerbank.co.uk/News/Question1474943.html

And in April we came down to 69% for out:
http://www.theanswerbank.co.uk/News/Question1488014.html

And as of writing, the perception of what is going to happen based on THIS poll is that it's 50/50!

All the best

Ed

[stuey]

I think that In will win simply because most people, especially older people, just don't like change.

[vulcan42]

stuey, I don't know how many elderly people you have asked but I am old and know all my elderly friends, without exception, want out. I also believe you're right in saying we will stay in but it will because of the younger voters who have not known anything else other than the EU.

[weecalf]

I vote we leave boris and Davy and what's his name and move on and join Antarctica as this heat is wicked

[stuey]

Still 50/50. I'm surprised that so few people have voted after all the threads that have been on here regarding the situation.

[mushroom25]

according to an interview on the radio earlier, if the public vote is "leave", the parliamentary "remain" groups will exercise some right of veto and nullify the vote. if that's true, what's the point of the vote?

[AB Editor]

mushroom25 - that doesn't sounds correct. Where did you hear it?

I suppose it could happen, but would they keep their seats in the next election?