News0 min ago
Weather Forecast
23 Answers
for tomorrow gives us a 30% chance of rain between 3pm and 6 pm - but what does a 30% chance of rain mean? I can't get my head round it! I can understand a 50% chance - either its going to rain or not, but how do you know what is forecast when it is a 30% chance?
Answers
Official answer: https:// www. metoffice. gov. uk/ about- us/ what/ accuracy- and- trust/ probability In practice though you should try to relate it to other 'real life' probabilitie s. If the probability of your partner coming home drunk from his firms 'do' is 90%, then you'll be expecting him to get p.ss.d but you'll recognise that there's still a slim...
23:26 Sat 25th May 2019
Official answer:
https:/ /www.me toffice .gov.uk /about- us/what /accura cy-and- trust/p robabil ity
In practice though you should try to relate it to other 'real life' probabilities. If the probability of your partner coming home drunk from his firms 'do' is 90%, then you'll be expecting him to get p.ss.d but you'll recognise that there's still a slim chance of him remaining sober. Conversely, if the probability of him coming home smashed out of his mind is only 10%, you'll be expecting him to arrive home reasonably sober so but still not totally surprised if he doesn't.
A 30% chance of rain means that it's more likely than not that it will stay dry but you still shouldn't be too surprised if your barbecue party gets rained off.
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In practice though you should try to relate it to other 'real life' probabilities. If the probability of your partner coming home drunk from his firms 'do' is 90%, then you'll be expecting him to get p.ss.d but you'll recognise that there's still a slim chance of him remaining sober. Conversely, if the probability of him coming home smashed out of his mind is only 10%, you'll be expecting him to arrive home reasonably sober so but still not totally surprised if he doesn't.
A 30% chance of rain means that it's more likely than not that it will stay dry but you still shouldn't be too surprised if your barbecue party gets rained off.
Arky, I used to do that, the looking out the window thing.
I still do that, but guess the passer-by age - similar to mine I'll wear what they are.
Anyone who looks much younger, no way - they're much more robust in their attitude.
Our postie wears shorts in all weathers, but a jacket if it's tipping down :-)
(not individually I hasten to add lol)
I still do that, but guess the passer-by age - similar to mine I'll wear what they are.
Anyone who looks much younger, no way - they're much more robust in their attitude.
Our postie wears shorts in all weathers, but a jacket if it's tipping down :-)
(not individually I hasten to add lol)