Interesting observation VHG, but, you'll quickly see, that we learn from history is that we learn nothing from history.
Look at the last spate of Balkan wars, Serbia tried to maintain Yugoslavia (although more akin to a latter day SCS, Yugoslavia Mk1) but it did so without Great Power support (Serbia's traditional ally Russia was a busted flush back then) so it was isolated and attacked because of western strategic war aims (first Gulf War) to appease the Muslim bloc, it was not an altruistic act.
The war (if memory serves) was sparked by Germany's unilateral recognition of Croation independence, a political practice that goes all the way back to Hellenism.
Look at Kosovo, an American client state if ever there was one, Kosovo is a strategic base for American interests in europe, particuarly Russia and the C.I.S, otherwise they wouldn't bother with it now.
The precedent set by Kosovo has HUGE implications for Turkey, Iraq (a British creation) and Kurdistan.
Get yourself a tin hat, the dummies who run our countries are going to try and take us to war again.
Key indicators for future tensions, China undervaluing the Yuan Remnibi, China operating unfair trade tariffs, Russian claims on the Arctic, Russian policy on gas/oil supplies, foreign support for various seccessionist movements (the Balkans could still break into smaller pieces like southern Dobrudja).
What you need to look out for is reactionary big mouths trying to whip up the masses with glib statements and over simplifications.