The Leaders Debate .

[anneasquith]

BBC 1 (Scotland) @7,30pm. tonight, may be of interest to the undecided voter,

[DTCwordfan]

I had this debate with Mikey on the phone this morning.....the 11 Lib seats versus what is going on here in the SW - core Liberal country at the moment down here but very likely to go blue, other than the traditional red of central Exeter, central Plymouth (pasta country) and, possibly, Camborne, which is always a 3-way punch up....any basic analysis of the numbers down here shows if it ain't Liberal it's Blue.....Labour, a long way away as No 3.

[DaisyNonna]

Already voted anne

[tonyav]

I don't think the the SNP will fail in winning most seats.

[-Talbot-]

DTCwordfan
I had this debate with Mikey on the phone this morning


Did I get a mention this time?

[DTCwordfan]

Thoisday for me.....

[DTCwordfan]

Oh yes, Talbo, did you see the thread with retro?

[-Talbot-]

Which one?

[jim360]

The problem with the "silent majority" this time is that there is no single position for the silent majority to take. We had a united position, "no", to fall back on and people did. Now, party loyalties come into bigger play, and while tactical voting may occur at unprecedented levels it is tougher to turn that into denying the SNP seats.

The current predictions of SNP landslides may be overstating it somewhat, but the fact is that the SNP has a lot of momentum and in many places an apparently unassailable position already, as long as their supporters show up. My prediction in Scotland is:

SNP: 43
Labour: 12
Lib Dem: 3
Conservative: 1

And even this might be optimistic. But we'll see.

Were it not for the fact that the future of this country is at stake, this would be a seriously interesting election from an academic point of view. Still interesting, but in an "oo-er" sort of way.

[DTCwordfan]

I'd go

SNP 25, Labour 18, Lib 3, Con 3,

[anneasquith]

the pre election issue is fascinating here at the moment.

[ladybirder]

So how many seats up for grabs then Jim/DTC?

Jim's forecast= 59
DTC's = 49

[DTCwordfan]

sorry its me at fault - split the delta 5 each way then.....

[steg]

45 is a sacred number for the SNP so that would be nice,
it's the non voters that could swing things In some seats imo, what party's voters are most likely not to turn up to vote which might be around 30 Ish%? Of voters. Or would the non voters be an evenIsh split.?