//But if they go out they won't be pished, they might be thinking a little more clearly about what they should or shouldn't be doing//
If you say so.
Personally I think they may be more inclined to roam the streets because they cannot get any booze. I think the time has come to accept that whatever restrictions the government introduces many people will not comply with them and they cannot be enforced. Those that will comply are probably doing most of what is being asked of them voluntarily anyway. Those that wont, well....won't, whether it's called Tier 4, Tier 94 or "Lockdown." Lockdowns clearly do not work and to keep doing the same thing (or subtle variations thereof) over and over again, expecting different results is madness.