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Bad News For Trump.
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I read recently that it is usual for the sitting presidents mid term results swing to the opposition. And that it rarely (but does happen occasionally) keeps its majority or looses seats.
I don’t enough or care enough to know more about US politics but although his novelty may well be wearing off mid terms don’t always tell the story.
I don’t enough or care enough to know more about US politics but although his novelty may well be wearing off mid terms don’t always tell the story.
Overall it’s pretty much as expected: success for the blues in the House but no headway made in the senate due to the profile of the seats up for grabs there. Trump will say, at 30-odd losses for the GOP, that it’s not too bad (he’s already said it’s a “tremendous success”).
Prospects for 2020 would only be one clearer when you still down into
All Trump’s key states that delivered him victory in 2016 have returned Democrat governors. And many of the rust belt areas of the north east that went red in 2016 are blue again. That ought to worry him.
Great election for female candidates.
Prospects for 2020 would only be one clearer when you still down into
All Trump’s key states that delivered him victory in 2016 have returned Democrat governors. And many of the rust belt areas of the north east that went red in 2016 are blue again. That ought to worry him.
Great election for female candidates.
Yes, not a good day for Trump but it has given him the next two years of Presidency which has gone against all the anti Trump ABers who predicted either assassination or impeachment after four months of office.
The results seem par for the course for mid term elections, although he may well have a rough ride in the House from time to time.
The results seem par for the course for mid term elections, although he may well have a rough ride in the House from time to time.
// The democrats could of course now start impeachment proceedings against the president,//
they could start - but it would fail [ so they wont]
One needs a 2/3 majority for impeachment in the Senate which has a pro trump majority. Impeachment is a non-starter
Clinton - they said - lets have a little vote half way thro, and got no majority so they called the whole thing off
which means - - - impeachment is looked on not as a legal procedure but just another political manoeuvre which demands a political majority
they could start - but it would fail [ so they wont]
One needs a 2/3 majority for impeachment in the Senate which has a pro trump majority. Impeachment is a non-starter
Clinton - they said - lets have a little vote half way thro, and got no majority so they called the whole thing off
which means - - - impeachment is looked on not as a legal procedure but just another political manoeuvre which demands a political majority
'The Democrats have won back the House of Representatives, but Trump has still managed to help the Republicans increase their hold on the Senate. You can never read much into a President’s future popularity based on midterms, but a Trump re-election in 2020 is a distinct possibility.
Wherever Trump campaigned (rather shrewdly in Senate seats), he managed to help the Republicans win or hold on. He tweeted this morning that only five times in the past century has a sitting President actually gained Senate seats in the midterms, quoting one commentator hailing ‘Trump is the magic man’. Yes, the margins were very tight in Texas and Florida but a win is a win.'
Wherever Trump campaigned (rather shrewdly in Senate seats), he managed to help the Republicans win or hold on. He tweeted this morning that only five times in the past century has a sitting President actually gained Senate seats in the midterms, quoting one commentator hailing ‘Trump is the magic man’. Yes, the margins were very tight in Texas and Florida but a win is a win.'
Points to consider.
Firstly. "The only years in which the president’s party has gained net seats in Congress in midterm elections since 1906 have been in 1934 (during the New Deal), 1998 (during the Clinton impeachment), and 2002 (after the 9/11 attacks)."
Secondly. "Almost all of the Democrat Senators in competitive races who voted against Kavanaugh lost on Tuesday, while the one who voted for Kavanaugh won. The Democrats may well have hung onto their seats had they not chosen to attack Brett Kavanaugh."
Thirdly. "Trump focused his energies on the Senate, campaigning in key states in the closing weeks of the election. He found it more difficult to help House candidates, many of whom kept their distance from him in suburban areas — perhaps a strategic mistake on their part, since candidates who chose to embrace the president tended to win."
Last but not least. There is already a spat brewing regarding the failure, once again,of the electronic voting terminals not working, and in some cases under lock and key, early in the day when the Republicans traditionally vote before going to work. Another point already being "discussed" is Fox news releasing a statement claiming victory for the Dems,. when voting was still under way in some Western States. Something that has never happened before, and again being construed as a late attempt to dissuade Republican voters turning out because they thought it was all over......."It is now". :))
Firstly. "The only years in which the president’s party has gained net seats in Congress in midterm elections since 1906 have been in 1934 (during the New Deal), 1998 (during the Clinton impeachment), and 2002 (after the 9/11 attacks)."
Secondly. "Almost all of the Democrat Senators in competitive races who voted against Kavanaugh lost on Tuesday, while the one who voted for Kavanaugh won. The Democrats may well have hung onto their seats had they not chosen to attack Brett Kavanaugh."
Thirdly. "Trump focused his energies on the Senate, campaigning in key states in the closing weeks of the election. He found it more difficult to help House candidates, many of whom kept their distance from him in suburban areas — perhaps a strategic mistake on their part, since candidates who chose to embrace the president tended to win."
Last but not least. There is already a spat brewing regarding the failure, once again,of the electronic voting terminals not working, and in some cases under lock and key, early in the day when the Republicans traditionally vote before going to work. Another point already being "discussed" is Fox news releasing a statement claiming victory for the Dems,. when voting was still under way in some Western States. Something that has never happened before, and again being construed as a late attempt to dissuade Republican voters turning out because they thought it was all over......."It is now". :))
The democrats were defending senate seats 10 ‘Trump 2016’ states, the republicans just the one in ‘Clinton 2016’ stares. The most unfavourable senate map ever according to people who analyse these things. Overall a blue ripple, not a wave.
Hopefully with the House we’ll see some compromise in legislation, with both parties working to get stuff through.
What with the elections for House, Governors, senate in some states, mini referenda and so on the ballot papers must have been busy
Hopefully with the House we’ll see some compromise in legislation, with both parties working to get stuff through.
What with the elections for House, Governors, senate in some states, mini referenda and so on the ballot papers must have been busy
