Strands#265 Did You Hear That?
Quizzes & Puzzles0 min ago
U S Presidential Election Tomorrow
Just by way of an unofficial AB poll, who's your money on?
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Little fact for you. The last Republican to be elected POTUS and to be ahead in the "polls" beforehand, was Dwight D Eisenhower (Ike) in 1952. He was a 5 star General and Supreme Commander of the Allied Expeditionary Force in Europe in WW2, and that had only ended a few years before. Had he not been ahead in the "polls" would have been very strange indeed.
It still isn't true, actually, as even the briefest glance at the polling history shows.
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The thing is, in 2016, the polls were not wrong by much -- just wrong by enough. They'd have to be worse this time, despite the fact that pollsters have tried to correct for their mistakes. So in that sense, I can certainly see Biden winning by less than forecast, but it is harder rationally to see him failing to make 270.
But we'll see. Trump is resilient, and his supporters are an enthusiastic minority.
But we'll see. Trump is resilient, and his supporters are an enthusiastic minority.
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